A methodology for finding optimum capacity for small hydro power projects (SHP) on the basis of benefit/cost analysis incorporating uncertainty in stream flow is presented in this paper. A probabilistic hydrological model is used to account for the uncertainties in hydrological data relating to independent or dependent events. The use of this method will give the optimum installed capacity for SHP, hence will reduce risks associated with it and will provide optimum benefits throughout the operational period of the power project.

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